Unrepresentative Democracy
May 8th, 2010Now most of the votes in the 2010 UK Election are in, we can now look past the media spin and take a detailed look at how the results were counted. Raw data curtsey of BBC News.
Here are votes cast (i.e. popular vote) against seats gained in parliament.

The first question you might ask is why did Liberal Democrat supporters (like myself) lose 92 representatives?
This difference is caused by Britain’s First-past-the-post system which allows the incumbent to redraw constituency boundary’s for electoral gain in a process called Gerrymandering. Looking at the next chart its obvious that both the big political party’s (Conservative and Labour) benefit greatly from this practice.

With the pitiful state of British democracy, its no wonder that 35% of the electorate didn’t vote. This is the Elephant in the room that media and politicians don’t like to dwell on, because when you factor these people in, its clear to see no party received anything like a mandate to govern.

But who are the disenfranchised and why didn’t they vote?
- Lack of voter power
Looking at the voter power index (excellent link), its clear that people living in marginal consistencies (i.e. people with real voter power) were 12% more likely to turn out to vote than those in the safest seats. This is due to their greater influence on the national outcome, and the disproportionally large share of campaigning (ads, leaflets, canvassing, etc) that they will have subsequently received. - Emigration
With an electoral system so unresponsive to peoples needs (i.e. both main parties are pretty much aligned on important matters: high house prices, immigration, war, etc.), many people instead choose to vote with their feet and move abroad. Unfortunately, government agency’s have some difficulty tracking inward migration, and have even fewer tools for detecting people who decide to leave. Hence, I believe the generally reported figure (around 400,000 pa) vastly underestimates reality (mainly because myself and many expatiates I know are not included in that figure). - Lack of choice
Who do I vote for if I want troops out of Afghanistan, or to break up of the land monopolies that make Britain such a difficult place to work and live? Why can’t I vote in favour of immigration controls, or even for the Green party? Its difficult to quantify this, but if people were given a legitimate choice of who to vote for (or to stand for election themselves), then more people would turn out to vote.

This is why the Liberal Democrats must use their leverage in a hung parliament to force a deal on Proportional Representation, which would benefit the British electorate by allowing them to vote for who and what they like.
Follow up (9/5/2010)
Looking at the last 2005 election (despite how its been reported in the media), the Liberal Democrats took slightly more votes this time around (0.9% more) but managed to lose 5 seats. Perhaps this election was really decided when the electoral commission redrew the boundary lines in 2006.
















